Imagine you're a credit risk analyst at a commercial bank. A mid-sized manufacturing company has applied for a two-year, RMB 50 million working capital loan. While the company has demonstrated stable historical financial performance, recent market shifts are concerning: its industry faces intensified competition, a critical supplier is in financial distress and potentially nearing bankruptcy, and raw material costs are steadily increasing.
Walk me through how you would assess the credit risk of this loan application. Specifically, detail your evaluation process, highlight the key risk factors you'd focus on, present your credit risk assessment conclusion, and outline any proposed risk mitigation strategies.